Nuclear war with North Korea highly ‘unlikely’

Ben Gyman, Opinion Editor

With the increased tension between North Korea and the United States, the idea of nuclear war is heavy on everyone’s minds. Every week it seems that North Korea’s missiles can reach even farther than the last. Soon Argentina will have to worry about a nuclear assault. But we need to take a step back; the issue is not how far the missiles can fly, it’s if they will fly at all.

Due to President Donald Trump’s brash statements of attacking North Korea with “fire and fury,” most people are under the assumption that missiles are going to begin falling all over America. It wasn’t exactly mass hysteria but moreso an intense feeling of dread.

Many newspapers and journalists compared that week of high tensions with the 45-year-long Cold War between the United States and the Soviet Union following World War II.

This point of view isn’t necessarily accurate.

“North Korea is not as much of a threat as the Soviet Union was and America has a much better handle on [this situation] due to the better communications between North Korea and the United States,” history and government teacher Heather Blount said.

Both of the countries involved in the Cold War were global superpowers; each had enough nuclear firepower to end life on Earth as we know it. North Korea has nowhere near the global or nuclear power as the U.S..

In fact, it would make no sense for North Korea to bomb us because that would almost undoubtedly lead to a collapse of their government by China finally ending trade deals with them. Not to mention that we would destroy them in retaliation.

The American ex-Chief Strategist Steve Bannon (recently fired from his position), South Korean President Moon Jae-in, and Chinese military officials all know that a war is not possible and dialogue seems to be the only option with North Korea.

“There is no military solution to [North Korea]… until someone solves the part of the equation that shows [that] 10 million people in Seoul don’t die in the first 30 minutes from conventional weapons,” Steve Bannon told “American Prospect” magazine before he was fired.

Some believe that just because a nuclear attack won’t come from North Korea, it doesn’t mean nuclear war won’t come at all. Russia and Iran could be two possible assailants in the next few years if provoked.

Blount isn’t as certain.

“I can’t say it’s a flat out no,” Blount said, “but I say it is unlikely.”

If a nuclear war doesn’t come from North Korea, then it’s dubious that it will happen at all, at least not for the next few years if America treads lightly in diplomatic relations.

The whole Cold War-esque feeling during this time of tension is an exaggeration and unnecessary. The only event that is happening between the U.S. and North Korea is a shouting match, and it will not escalate any further than that.

So the big question as tensions rise and fall between the U.S. and North Korea: will a nuclear war break out before we can get our college degrees? Probably not, but if it does, rest easy; Washington, D.C. will probably be the first place hit.